First of all the fun news. It is not just the Share market on Dalal Street that is up ever since BJP’s spectacular win in Uttar Pradesh. My last post on this blog, which I also published in Opindia went viral, garnering over 10,000 FB shares and counting.
For ease of comparison, Ms. Gurmehar Kaur’s crappy FB post had only 3000 shares or so after almost 5 days of relentless promotion by every media outlet in the country.
Overall, I am glad I finally got to tell this thrilling story. You see Jharkhand is essentially as much of a forgotten state of India as the North East. When you start telling about the dark deeds of UPA in this forgotten state, people do listen!
And I do hope that someone in Bollywood listens to all the tweets about this story and makes a movie about it.
For me the question of the day is why the Congress could not get its act together in Goa and Manipur fast enough. Barring something totally unforeseen (and that could well happen), it seems the BJP has already locked up both states.
But how did this come to pass? In Goa, the Congress had 17 seats out of 40, needing just 4 for a majority. There were enough free floaters around like MGP (3 seats) and Goa Forward (3 seats) for Congress to form a government. In Manipur, the Congress was even closer, just 3 short of a majority.
So, what happened?
The consensus on media and social media seems to be that the Congress was in a state of shock after UP results, its leadership too lethargic and perhaps arrogant to act quickly. Meanwhile the BJP moved nimbly and had locked up both states before the Congress got wind of what was happening.
However, I just want to specify that I disagree heavily. Politicians are just not like that. When they see power in front of them, they gobble it up, pure and simple. And I believe that politicians are made of sterner stuff than to just give up and lose in Panaji or Imphal just because their enemy won in faraway Uttar Pradesh. You or I may have experienced this election on social media, looking at the “big picture” : the totality of all 5 states that went to polls. But for party leaders in the actual contest, the election is much more local. They were focused on their own specific state and their own specific seats.
Just because we spent 80% of our time thinking about UP and only 5% each for the other 4 states doesn’t mean a Congress leader in Goa or Manipur did the same. No, they probably spent 90% of their time thinking about their own state.
So, I do not buy the “shock theory”. I do not believe for a moment that a Congress worker leader who has spent months toiling in Goa will suddenly give up just because he saw disappointing results on TV from Uttar Pradesh.
I think the explanation is a lot simpler. The Congress simply did not have enough money to form the government in Goa or Manipur. Let’s keep it real.
The events in Goa and Manipur show that the cash crunch in Congress is for real. As the Congress has vanished from the map of India, it has ceased to be an attractive investment. It is simply now unable to raise the money for political wheeling and dealing.
This is terrible news for the people of Karnataka, because a drying and desperate Congress will now squeeze this cash cow to the max. But the worst possible choice has been made by the people of Punjab. Because the Congress is scheduled to lose Karnataka in May 2018, a full year before the General Elections. This will leave them with only Punjab, which will now have to bear the entire weight of the Congress 2019 campaign. Humongous corruption is on the way….
I will go on record one more time to express my reservations about what the BJP is doing in Goa. The image of Manohar Parrikar is a massive political asset. And the BJP is putting it all on the line. Suffice to say that a government like this in Goa can only last as long as the BJP is in power at the Central level. Fortunately, 2019 is likely to be a win and so the government in Goa is likely safe.
Here, I must note with some irony, that the very purpose for the existence of this blog is now under threat. This blog was started to fight the propaganda of dynastycrooks. And surely you have all noticed the odd silence ever since the results of Uttar Pradesh came out. Have you seen how much peace there is in the country since March 11?
Folks, the dynastycrooks are falling silent. They are all convinced that 2019 is a gone case. Which is silly, because it definitely isn’t. The Congress has several “mahagathbandhan” tricks up its sleeve. It would be foolish to take it easy for 2019.
But the dynastycrooks, having thrown in their lot aggressively with the Dynasty for the last 3 years, are suddenly in panic mode. They have realized that the incessant screaming and crying wolf for 3 years hasn’t helped their cause one bit. If anything, it might have made Modi even bigger than he actually is.
And that’s why the BJP’s machinations in Goa, instead of getting criticism, are suddenly being praised as examples of being “nimble”. These are the perks of being in power 🙂 Have you seen NDTV these days? There’s “Bhakt” written all over it.
And the sudden, self-interested Bhakti of dynastycrooks will always be more servile than anything a genuine Bhakt can offer.
The real challenge for BJP will be to keep its head above this rising tide of flatterers and listen to the voices of the real supporters and genuine well-wishers. Today, there are pathological BJP haters who are suddenly praising every move of the party to high heaven. The BJP needs to insulate itself from this false praise.
I’ve said before that the only clever thing Rahul Gandhi said in his life is that “Power is actually a poison“. Never get carried away by what the flatterers tell you, but the temptation is always tremendous. Having seen the worst of the media, I think Modi understand this. We will know in 2019.