Let me show you this map:
It’s an electoral map of India from a certain General Election. Quick: can you take a look at it and tell me which party won? The one in pink or the one in green? Would you believe if I told you that Green won? Yes, this is a map of India from the 2004 General Election. This is 2004, where the Congress won 145 seats to the BJP’s 138. The gap was a mere 7 seats and the Congress secured some 26% of the total votes. It is clear that there was no national trend visible: the BJP swept a lot of areas with low concentration of Lok Sabha seats, the Congress did well in other areas and in the final count…the Congress was 7 seats ahead! That is all there was to the Congress’ historic victory over the BJP in 2004!
Hey…but the Congress won in 2004 fair and square. No one can question the people’s mandate, whether we like it or not.
Cut to 2014, when BJP won by a massive 282-44 margin, denying even the leader of opposition post to the Congress. There wasn’t a single state where the Congress reached double digits. The BJP secured 100% of the seats in Gujarat, Rajasthan, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Goa, Uttarakhand and won over 85% of the seats in Uttar Pradesh (!!!!!), Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Maharashtra! This was the reach, the breadth and the depth of the electoral mandate of 2014 which brought the Dynasty to its knees.
In a sane world, the Dynastycrooks of Lutyens would have accepted their defeat and conceded that Modi won India fair and square. Instead, in their blinding hatred towards Modi, Dynastycrooks raised a stink over the BJP securing 31% of the votes and tried to whine and whine and delegitimize the Modi mandate. In their desperate anger, they decided that every election in India, no matter how small, should henceforth be seen as a test for Modi. Bypolls in Bihar? Test for Modi! Delhi Student Union polls? Test for Modi! Elections for the Cantt Board in Varanasi? Test for Modi!
By the way, it is when media started talking about poll results for Varanasi Cantt Board that I first heard that there is something called a Cantt Board and elections are held for it 🙂 🙂
Of course, the idea behind this is clear. No party can win 100% of elections. So whenever BJP trips up in any small poll anywhere, the Dynastycrook media can pounce on it and call it a result of “anger towards Modi”. But, this post is not about how ridiculously unfair the media is: we all know that. This is about how the effort to delegitimize Modi’s mandate has hurt the Dynastycrooks, has hurt the Dynasty, has hurt the BJP itself and is hurting the nation.
- So, first of all, how does this hurt the Dynasty? The Mameluks may not realize this, but in their desperate effort to find fault with the BJP’s victories they are only making life worse for the Dynasty. When BJP is mocked for winning “just 31%” of the vote and the Shehzada gets fulsome praise for showing up in Parliament once in a while, it only hurts the Dynasty. Because they are only lowering the expectations that the Congress has of itself. Here is how the Congress has fared in elections since 2014:
Maharashtra : Congress came 3rd behind BJP & Shiv Sena, just 1 seat ahead of NCP at 4th position
Haryana: Congress came 3rd behind BJP and INLD
Jharkhand: Congress came 4th behind BJP, JMM and JVM, again 1 seat ahead of AJSU at 5th position.
Jammu & Kashmir: Congress came 4th behind PDP, BJP and NC.
Delhi: Rank undefined as Cong won 0 seats!
Yet, in each of these elections, Congress has been consoled by their Mameluks in media by telling them that their performance was better than that in Lok Sabha polls and so they should just chill. When the Congress won 26 out of 113 civic bodies in Rajasthan, Times Now credited the Congress with “SWEEPING” the polls! Recently, when Congress became the first incumbent government in Karnataka to lose BBMP polls since the 1980s, Dynastycrooks told the Congress not to worry because despite losing, they had won a few more wards than in 2010! Ironically, Dynastycrooks have unwittingly conditioned the Congress to think like a loser….to whine and look for straws to clutch amidst the wreckage of defeat. And when you think like a loser, you keep losing. Think about it: the Bihar polls are fast approaching. It’s not clear who will win, but we do know that Congress’ best hope in Bihar is to come 5th behind BJP, RJD,JDU and LJP. In fact, the Congress would be lucky to manage the 5th position. With Upendra Kushwaha’s RLSP contesting 23 seats and Manjhi’s HAM(S) contesting 20 seats, Congress which will probably win 4-5 seats might actually slip to 7th position!
This is the writing on the wall. Dynastycrooks can console the Congress at their own peril. What’s next? Will Congress slip out of the Top 10 in Bihar?
2. Ok, now let us come to how this hurts the BJP. Stung by the constant cribbing over every little poll, the BJP has been unable to keep its cool. It has become equally obsessed with winning every single election. An example was when the entire Cabinet including the Prime Minister tweeted over the BJP winning some civic polls in Madhya Pradesh. Yes, the BJP understood that had it lost even a single seat in those polls, the media would have gone to town claiming that this is the end of Shivraj Singh Chauhan.
But then, isn’t the real problem with the BJP’s media management? Obviously winning polls is important; every poll is important, but is winning 100% of elections a sustainable goal? And remember, it’s not enough to win the election, you must win 100% of the seats. Remember how the BJP recently won civic body polls in Rajasthan by a 62-26 margin, but it became a “Congress SWEEP” in the media narrative? So, what is the BJP hoping for? It’s not enough to win the election, you must also win 100% of the seats. Oh wait! If you win 100% of the seats, Dynastycrooks will check the voteshares. So you must win not just 100% of the seats but also 50%+ of the vote! Is this a practical goal? Is this sustainable? The Dynastycrooks will just keep raising the demands on the BJP’s performance and the BJP will just keep obsessively chasing the higher and higher bar set by the crooks? Who is in charge, they or us? Would it not be easier and smarter to fix the media narrative?
In fact, if you look across the country, it is stunning just how much power the BJP has. Not only does it have its own majority at the Center, it is ruling most of the states. Congress is nowhere to be seen on the map except Assam and Karnataka…and Assam will fall into the BJP’s lap next year as the Dynasty watches helplessly. Never has the Congress been so weak and the BJP so powerful. And yet, ask any BJP supporter (including me…LOL 🙂 ) and he/she will say that winning Bihar is a do or die moment for the BJP. How did the Dynastycrooks manage to lay siege to the BJP in the current electoral situation? LOL! How did the herd of elephants allow itself to be hemmed in by a herd of goats?
3. Finally, how is this hurting India? It’s fairly obvious. As the ruling party, BJP’s current mentality is directly linked to the fortunes of our nation. Since the BJP feels it is under siege, so does policy making in Delhi. Since the BJP has put everything on hold until the Bihar polls, it means that the country itself is on hold till the Bihar polls. A similar situation can be expected for the six months before the UP elections…by which time it will be too late to push through the reforms needed to save our economy AND let the fruits grow in time for the 2019 elections.