Few days back, I had written here about how India’s “mass leaders”, much celebrated by Dynastycrook media are nothing but petty pygmies. I gave examples how “mass leaders” like Lalu, Mulayam, Nitish, Mamata etc are all unable to spread outside just 1 state each. Since Bihar elections are fast approaching, I focused on Lalu Yadav and showed how his party has stayed a poor No. 3 in Bihar for a whole decade now.
Election 1st Rank 2nd Rank 3rd Rank
2005 Assembly Poll JDU BJP RJD
2009 Lok Sabha JDU BJP RJD
2010 Assembly JDU BJP RJD
2014 Lok Sabha BJP LJP RJD
I made my observation on the basis of seat numbers. Today I came across a brilliant article on IndiaSpend that looks more deeply into the data on vote shares in Bihar:
The article is called “The 5% poison pill for Lalu” and explains why Lalu had to drink “poison” to somehow try and stop the BJP. The author does an excellent analysis of vote shares and finds that since 2004, here are the vote shares of BJP vs all others RJD+JDU+Cong (based on seats contested)
Election BJP RJD+JDU+Cong Gap
2004 Lok Sabha 36.4 % 62.69 % 26%
2005 Assembly (Feb) 24.47% 46.46% 22%
2005 Assembly (Oct) 35.75% 53.25% 18%
2009 Lok Sabha 36% 54% 18%
2010 Assembly 39.4% 50% 12%
2014 Lok Sabha 39.7% 45% 5%
This data, spaced out over a period of 11 years, tells the story of Indian politics: BJP continuously rising and the pseudo-secular parties shrinking. The gap has reduced from a giant 26% down to 5%! As I pointed out in my article, the only question for Lalu Yadav is: will you lose now or will you lose later?
In a previous post, I had shown with electoral results from Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh how the secular parties are getting squeezed out. This new data helps make my point even better. The conclusion is exactly the same: The BJP is out-competing every other party in India.